Wednesday, August 8, 2012

UFC 150 Breakdown


UFC 150
MAIN CARD (Pay-per-view, 10 p.m. ET)
Champ Benson Henderson vs. Frankie Edgar (for lightweight title)-
The fight will be a close one. Henderson took the first one in a great fight but look for Edgar to come in with a better game plan here. This fight can truly go either way but for the purpose of this breakdown I lean slightly towards the way of Frankie Edgar.
Edgar via close dec

Donald Cerrone vs. Melvin Guillard-
This fight should be an easy one. I am a fan of both fighters but from what I heard Cerrone shouldn't have a problem here. Apparently during the time of these two men training together at Jackson's camp Cerrone would guillotine Melvin the majority of time during their sparring sessions. While Melvin's sub defense has gotten extremely better, I do not think it has improved enough to deal with Cerrone.
Cerrone via Sub round 1

Jake Shields vs. Ed Herman-
Sheilds holds a huge advantage in this fight in the wrestling and grappling aspect. I look for Shields to put Herman on his back early where he will control him throughout. While it is possible to get a submission for Shields I think he grinds out a decision.
Shields via Dec

Yushin Okami vs. Buddy Roberts-
This fight will be a lot closer than the odds suggest. Okami should win this fight by taking Roberts down to the ground and closing the distance in the clinch. Roberts key to victory is keeping away from Okami and not allowing him Okami to get a hold of him. I am going to go against my original pick ad go with Roberts in this one. I think he will land the jab more effectively and out point Okami in what could be a close decision.
Roberts via Dec 

Justin Lawrence vs. Max Holloway-
I was not impressed at all be Lawrence in the ultimate fighter house and I thought he looked overrated in his first fight out of the house. Holloway was impressive in his fight vs Schilling. I understand the Schilling is not by any means a good fighter but Holloway's stand up was very impressive. Lawrence needs to go back to his wrestling roots, fight smart and take this fight to the ground. I am not confident in him doing this and that will allow Holloway to pick him apart and take a decision victory.
Halloway via Dec

PRELIMINARY CARD (FX, 8 p.m. ET)
Dennis Bermudez vs. Tom Hayden-
Bermudez will use his takedowns to control the fight. While on the ground Bermudez will do enough to earn a lopsided decision but I do not think he will be able to finish the fight.
Bermudez via Decision

Jared Hamman vs. Michael Kuiper-
This fight will be fireworks!!! Both men love to brawl it out and both have a ton of power. I believe the difference in this fight is Kuiper has the better chin. When it comes to a slugfest the man with the better chin usually has the advantage. I believe this is the case here as Kuiper blasts Hamman early in round 1.
Kuiper via KO round 1

Ken Stone vs. Erik Perez-
This should be a pretty good fight but I think that Perez holds the slight advantage. Perez has great submission defense as well as a polished grappling game himself. Stone has turned a corner in his career and has looked good in his last few contests. I think Perez will do enough to stay out of trouble and pull out the decision.
Perez vía Decision

Nik Lentz vs. Eiji Mitsuoka-
This fight should be all Lentz. Mitsuoka has an impressive resume but he is in the twilight of his career facing a much larger opponent in Lentz who is cutting down to make his debut at 145lbs. Lentz should take him to get ground, out muscle him and ground and pound his way to a decision.
Lentz via Decision

PRELIMINARY CARD (Facebook, 7:30 p.m. ET)
Dustin Pague vs. Chico Camus-
Many experts are leaning towards Pague in this one, however I have not been impressed with Pague and feel that Camus will pull the upset. If Camus can keep the fight standing he should find himself holding a clear cut advantage on the feet where he can pull out a decision victory.
Camus via Decision


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