UFC 153 Breakdown

MAIN CARD (Pay-per-view, 10 p.m. ET)

Anderson Silva vs. Stephan Bonnar - non-title light-heavyweight fight-

Silva has every advantage in this fight; he hits harder, is faster and is better on the ground. One interesting thing of note is that Bonnar is a former Golden Gloves boxer, I don't think that will matter much in this fight but it will be intriguing to see how effective his boxing can be against Silva.

Silva via KO round 1

Dave Herman vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira-

This fight is one that has a lot of question marks around it. On paper Bog Nog should have big advantage here but he has been off for 10 months after Mir broke his arm. You have to wonder if age, a traumatic injury and time away will effect a fighter that has been through the amount of wars that Nog has. I think the power puncher Herman catches him early and puts away Nogueira.

Herman via Ko round 1

Fabio Maldonado vs. Glover Teixeira-

This fight is merely a question of how will Teixeira will win and how long it will take him. Tex holds a distinct advantage everywhere in this fight and Maldonado will see his short stint with the UFC come to a close as Teixeira taps him in the first round.

Teixeira via Sub round 1

Jon Fitch vs. Erick Silva-

Silva is an explosive fighter and I would love to see him win here to set up some intriguing matches at the top of this division but unfortunately it will not happen. Fitch will fight a normal fitch fight and take silva down an control him in route to a dec victory.

Fitch via Dec

Phil Davis vs. Wagner Prado-

The fact that Prado looked competitive in the 90 secs of the previous fight will have some people siding with Prado but that just means better odds for the smart money. Davis will use his far superior wrestling to take Prado down and eventually lock in a choke that will end Prado's night.

Davis via Sub round 2

Demian Maia vs. Rick Story-

This is a fight that I am not really sure what to make of and one that can truly go either way depending on how the fight plays out. Im leaning towards Maia based off the fact that this fight will likely go to the mat at some point and Maia holds a big advantage there.

Maia via Dec

PRELIMINARY CARD (FX, 8 p.m. ET)

Rony "Jason" Mariano Bezerra vs. Sam Sicilia-

This is a fight of two fighters that are true up and comers. Both fighters have sure fire ways to end this fight with Sicilia's coming in stand up and Rony's coming via submission. I think Sicilia's wrestling is good enough to keep the fight standing and he scores the TKO in round 1.

Sicilia TKO round 1

Gleison Tibau vs. Francisco Trinaldo-

Tibau has a big time strength advantage and will be able to out-muscle Trinaldo in the clinch, this will be the deciding factor in this fight as Tibau will be able to execute his game plan better.

Tibau via Dec

Diego Brandao vs. Joey Gambino-

Diego will come out firing from the opening bell and catch Gambino early to score a quick KO victory.

Brandao via KO round 1

Renee Forte vs. Sergio Moraes-

This should be a good fight as Moraes holds a big advantage on the ground and Forte has a solid stand up game. Forte should do enough on his feet to earn a decision victory.

Forte via Dec

PRELIMINARY CARD (Facebook, 7 p.m. ET)

Chris Camozzi vs. Luiz Cane-

Cane has been off his game lately but I think fighting in front of his home crowd in Brazil should be all the motivation he needs to get things back on track. 

Cane via TKO round 2

Reza Madadi vs. Cristiano Marcello-

In this fight between 2 great grapplers I will lean towards who I think is the better of the 2 and pick Marcello to win via sub in round 2

Marcello Sub round 2