Thursday, June 7, 2012

UFC on FX 3 breakdown

My guest post on: http://www.gamedayinsiders.com/tylers-free-ufc-on-fx-3-complete-card-breakdown/ 

MAIN CARD (FX)
Demetrious Johnson vs. Ian McCall-
This fight is interesting because the first fight between these two competitors was action-packed throughout the fifteen minute duration of the contest. What was obvious even from an untrained eye was that Johnson held an advantage in the striking department using his speed to move in and out whereas McCall held the advantage once the two men locked up. The first two rounds seen Johnson work his game by using his boxing, however in the third round either Johnson completely gassed or McCall had figured out a hole in his game. That is the question in this fight because if McCall has figured out a hole it is his fight to lose on Friday night. I believe that to be the case and McCall will turn their second fight into more a a wrestling match where he will see himself on the winning side of a decision.
McCall via Dec
Charlie Brenneman vs. Erick Silva-
I am excited for this fight because Erick Silva is the next big thing in the 170lb division. Aside from a DQ loss in his last fight to Carlo Prater, Silva has been an impressive talent since coming to the UFC. He earned a kick KO victory in his first UFC fight and everyone thought he had his second quick KO when it was ruled that he threw punches to the back of the head. Brenneman on the other hand comes into this fight with a clear cut game plan, take this fight to the ground at all costs. I expect Brenneman to try to turn this fight into a wrestling match from the opening bell, however with nothing to offer in terms of stand-up and no real threat of ground and pound it will only be a matter of time before Silva lands a knee to the jaw and puts Brenneman to sleep.
Silva via KO Round 1

Josh Neer vs. Mike Pyle-
This fight is between two veterans with a ton of experience in the cage. There is one of two ways this fight can go, either Neer rushes out from the start and controls this fight on his feet and exploits the holes in Pyle's stand up or Pyle takes this fight to the ground as Neer comes forward and locks in a submission or grinds out a decision. I think that Neer will rush forward and try to set a fast pace and look for and early knockout but Pyle will put him on his back and will grind out a 3 round decision victory.
Pyle via UD

Scott Jorgensen vs. Eddie Wineland-
This will be a hard fought fight and I expect it to be close throughout. Wineland is coming off a series of injuries including a head on car wreck. That time off that he has had may unfortunately come into play here in a fight that will most likely go the distance. Wineland holds the advantage on the feet and Jorgensen is the better wrestler. I expect them to split the first two rounds and then Wineland's time off come into play in the 3rd round as he gasses slightly to allow Jorgensen to pull out a very close decision.
Jorgensen via close Dec

PRELIMINARY CARD (FUEL TV)
Mike Pierce vs. Carlos Eduardo Rocha-
If Pierce chooses to use his wrestling to take this fight to the ground it will be a short night for him as Rocha is very dangerous from all positions on the ground. His best advantage is to keep the fight standing where he holds the advantage in striking power. I think he will take Rocha to the ground and will end up getting caught in a submission in round 2.
Rocha via Sub round 2

Seth Baczynski vs. Lance Benoist-
This fight could be a fight that will serve as a break out party for Benoist. Benoist looked strong in his first UFC fight vs Matt Riddle but lacked cardio once the fight was taken into the later rounds. I look for him to fix that problem in the future because he won't need it here as he locks up a submission victory in round 2.
Benoist via Sub round 2

Leonard Garcia vs. Matt Grice-
I suspect this fight was made by the UFC to give a win to one of their most exciting fighters Leonard Garcia. Garcia is exciting in almost every fight he is in however that does not translate into notches in the win column. Grice lacks the skill level to compete with the likes of Garcia having lost to lesser talent during his stint in the UFC. Look for Garcia justify his place in the UFC by finishing Grice early.
Garcia vía KO round 1

Dustin Pague vs. Jared Papazian-
With this fight likely being the last in the UFC for the loser look for these men to throw down from the opening bell. Pague will look to get this fight to the ground but he will find trouble in doing so as Papazian keeps the fight standing and gets the better of Pague on his feet for the decision victory.
Papzian via Dec

Tim Means vs. Justin Salas-
This fight is between two prospects in the division. Tim Means is a tall 155'r and will pose a big threat here for Salas who will look to close the range and try for a takedown. Means has good wrestling defense and a ton of power which will ultimately lead him to a KO victory.
Means via KO round 1

Caio Magalhaes vs. Buddy Roberts-
Ciao should try to get this fight to the ground early and often because he is outclassed by Roberts in the stand-up department. I think that Roberts will be able to use his strength to thwart off Caio's takedown attempts in route to a decision victory.
Roberts via Dec

PRELIMINARY CARD (Facebook)
Bernardo Magalhaes vs. Henry Martinez-
This fight should be a relatively easy win for Martinez. Magalhaes has been unimpressive despite his 11-2 record. This should serve as his last fight in the UFC as Martinez drops back down to his normal weight class and will have a district advantage in all aspects of this fight.
Martinez via Sub round 2

Jake Hecht vs. Sean Pierson-
Pierson has faced the better competition since joining the UFC and that should serve him well in this fight as he faces a fighter in Hecht who is similarly skilled. This fight should be close throughout with Pierson edging out a decision victory.
Pierson via Dec

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